加拿大代写被抓：利率降低的影响

加拿大代写被抓：利率降低的影响

处于历史低位的利率降低了企业和家庭的借贷成本，从而支撑了经济增长。过去几年的低汇率为资源向服务业转移铺平了道路，工资水平的适度增长促进了就业率的强劲增长。因此，失业率预计到2017年将下降到5.5%。在家庭储蓄率下降、就业率上升和汽油价格下降的支撑下，预计家庭消费将以稳定的速度增长。对于油价对投资和消费影响的持续不确定性，不仅对澳大利亚经济构成威胁，也对预测期内的全球经济前景构成威胁。投资的前景仍然是建设性的，还有一系列的努力尚未付诸实施。除了控制许多发达经济体的通货膨胀率外，预计通过适度提高工资率也能达到同样的效果。
零售业的竞争和汽油价格的下降预计也将对通胀率构成压力。2016- 2017年，澳大利亚非农村商品出口预计增长7%。由于液化天然气和铁矿石产量的增加，预计2017-18年这一比例将进一步提高至7.5%(货币政策声明，2016)。在过去的几年里，亚洲国家的低汇率和不断增长的需求支持了该国服务出口的增长，如教育和旅游业(推动澳大利亚教育的创新、公平和卓越，2016)。目前，澳大利亚被认为是石油产品和石油的净进口国。澳大利亚的家庭和企业受益于低廉的燃料价格。然而，石油价格下跌将影响液化天然气的出口价格，因为它们通过未来的合同与石油价格挂钩。

加拿大代写被抓：利率降低的影响

The historically low rate of interest is supporting growth in the economy by lowering the cost of borrowing for businesses and households. The low exchange rate over the last few years has smoothened the way for shifting resources to the service sector, and the moderate growth in the wage rate has facilitated the strong growth in the rate of employment. Thus, the rate of unemployment is expected to fall to 5.5 percent by 2017.The household consumption is forecasted to grow at a steady rate, supported by a falling savings rate of households, growth in employment rate and lower prices of petrol. The persisting incertitude about the impact of prices of oil on investment and consumption poses a danger to not only Australian economy, but to the global economic outlook during the period of forecast. The prospect for investments continues to be constructive with a line of effort yet to be taken into execution. In addition to keep the rate of inflation in control in many advanced economies, it is expected to achieve the same through a moderate growth in the wage rate.
The competition in the retails sector and lower prices of petrol is also expected to weigh on rate of inflation. The export of non-rural commodity in Australia is projected to growth by 7 percent in 2016-17. This is further expected to increase to 7.5 percent in 2017-18 owing to the ramp up in the production of LNG and iron ore (Statement on Monetary Policy, 2016). Over the preceding years, the low rate of exchange and increasing demand from Asian countries has supported growth in exports of services in the country, such as education and tourism (Driving innovation, fairness and Excellence in Australian Education, 2016). Currently, Australia is considered to be a net importer of petroleum products and oil. The households and business enterprises in Australia are benefitted from low price of fuel. However, a fall in the price of oil would impact the export prices of LNG as they are associated to price of oil through a future contract.